Inching Closer

I’m still divided about who I should be rooting for in the Red Sox-Indians series.  But after tonight, I’m really leaning towards the Indians.  It’s good I finally picked a team since there’s only one game left.  Back when the Yankees were leading just 2-0 I found myself cheering for the Indians when I would switch the game over.  In the end it doesn’t matter….as long as the Yankees keep winning, good things will happen.  Like gaining two games in the Wild Card and inching one step closer to that division lead.

After tonight’s 7-1 victory, the Yankees now trail Boston by 6.5 games.  That’s still not a neligible deficit….but the Yankees have now made up a full 8 games in the standings since May 30.  6.5 games with 8 weeks to go is not insurmountable.  I’m not even sure the last time the Yankees were this close to the Red Sox.  The most recent time I know for sure was following the Yankees’ 7-game losing streak that began with the blowing of the 6-2 lead in Boston.  They were 8-13 at that point (it was April 27).  It’s possible they’ve been closer since then, but I don’t want to look at the standins for everyday.  Whenever the last time was, it was too long ago.

The Yankees won their 6th straight in style.  I was sure they were going to have a down offensive evening but eke out a win.  Something that would be perfect…an off night with a good result.  Instead, the boys really came alive near the end, including A-Roddasaurus’s 35th homerun, 499th homerun, and his 102nd RBI.  Alex now has 102 RBIs in exactly 100 games, putting him on pace for around 165.  That’s 19 shy of Gehri’s AL record and way short of Hack Wilson’s 191.  But it’ll be a threat and he’s bound to be the closest to the numbers since Manny Ramirez in 1999.

I mentioned the other day that the mathematical experts are putting the Yankee chances of making the playoffs at around 20% for the wild card, 5% for the division.  But I also think that each game gained increases those chances, especially gaining games with 2 months to go in the season.  Well, at the start of play Wednesday, the Yankees chances of winning the Wild Card, according to Baseball Prospectus have increased to 26% and their overall chance of making the playoffs stands at 30%.  That’s after gaining two games in the WC standings.  So it looks like, at this point, each game gained in the standings increases their chances by 3%.  That’s not too shabby.  Of course, I’m not a mathematician, that’s my ignorant interpretation of the numbers.  Other methods (available at the link above) put the Yankee chances as higher.

Tomorrow the Yankees look to gain another game in the standings of some race with their 7th straight victory.  It’ll be nice to see a sweep.  It’s kid of surprising that given the Yankees stupendous July so far that there hasn’t been a single series sweep.  I want to see  Beth’s crazy Steinbrenner!

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3 comments

  1. jimmyfbx@aol.com

    Hi,

    Just a note to let you know, as the baseball season draws down, that the NY Yankee baseball team’s claim to have “won more sports championships than any other team” is not correct. This clam seems to be made once in every TV broadcast of Yankee games.

    At least one team, the Gaelic Athletic Association’s Kerry Team (the Kingdom is the nickname) has won 34 to date and is going to try for their 35th on Sunday, September 16, 2007.

    Kerry won their first championship, beating London in 1903, the year the Yankees moved their franchise from Baltimore to New York. Kerry lost at the old NY Giants field, the Polo Grounds in 1947. That much-recounted championship game was replayed as a National League game on its 50th anniversary in 1997 in NYC at Downing Stadium on Randal’s Island of west 125 street.

    Kerry won this rematch in a well attend game that drew spectators from Europe, Australia and the Far East. Former Mayor Giuliani was part of the festivities. I talked with him myself. I also attended the 1947 game at the Polo Grounds.

    From Wikipedia Encyclopedia

    Kerry

    “Gaelic football History

    Kerry are the most successful team in Gaelic football. They have won the All-Ireland Senior Football Championship on 34 occasions. The county holds a number of distinctive records in football championship history. Kerry has played in more All-Ireland finals than any other team – 52 in all as of 17 September 2006. Although Wexford has the honour of being the first team to win four-in-a-row, Kerry has won four consecutive titles on two occasions (1929-1932 and 1978-1981).

    The Kerry team of the 1970s and 1980s is considered one of the greatest of all time. Of the 20 All-Ireland finals held during those two decades, Kerry participated in 12, with victory coming on 9 occasions. In 1982, Kerry came within one minute of winning an unprecedented fifth All-Ireland title in a row. However, a late goal by Offaly’s Séamus Darby snatched victory away from the Kingdom. This goal was voted third in a poll to find the Top 20 GAA Moments.

    Towards the end of the 1980s Kerry went into decline and failed to appear in an All-Ireland final for 10 years having last appeared in 1986 and not again until 1997. This however markeed the beginning of another Kerry golden era of sorts. Of the last 10 all Irelands, Kerry have contested 6 and won 4. Many have spoke of teams like Armagh and Tyrone, who have both beaten Kerry in recent finals, as becoming successors to Kerry’s reign but Kerry have come back time and again and are the current 2006 champions. All-Ireland Senior Football Championships: 34

    1903, 1904, 1909, 1913, 1914, 1924, 1926, 1929, 1930, 1931, 1932, 1937, 1939, 1940, 1941, 1946, 1953, 1955, 1959, 1962, 1969, 1970, 1975, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1997, 2000, 2004, 2006 ”

    Also, check the Webb at gaa.ie

    All the best

    Jimmy@aol.com

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