I’m still divided about who I should be rooting for in the Red Sox-Indians series. But after tonight, I’m really leaning towards the Indians. It’s good I finally picked a team since there’s only one game left. Back when the Yankees were leading just 2-0 I found myself cheering for the Indians when I would switch the game over. In the end it doesn’t matter….as long as the Yankees keep winning, good things will happen. Like gaining two games in the Wild Card and inching one step closer to that division lead.
After tonight’s 7-1 victory, the Yankees now trail Boston by 6.5 games. That’s still not a neligible deficit….but the Yankees have now made up a full 8 games in the standings since May 30. 6.5 games with 8 weeks to go is not insurmountable. I’m not even sure the last time the Yankees were this close to the Red Sox. The most recent time I know for sure was following the Yankees’ 7-game losing streak that began with the blowing of the 6-2 lead in Boston. They were 8-13 at that point (it was April 27). It’s possible they’ve been closer since then, but I don’t want to look at the standins for everyday. Whenever the last time was, it was too long ago.
The Yankees won their 6th straight in style. I was sure they were going to have a down offensive evening but eke out a win. Something that would be perfect…an off night with a good result. Instead, the boys really came alive near the end, including A-Roddasaurus’s 35th homerun, 499th homerun, and his 102nd RBI. Alex now has 102 RBIs in exactly 100 games, putting him on pace for around 165. That’s 19 shy of Gehri’s AL record and way short of Hack Wilson’s 191. But it’ll be a threat and he’s bound to be the closest to the numbers since Manny Ramirez in 1999.
I mentioned the other day that the mathematical experts are putting the Yankee chances of making the playoffs at around 20% for the wild card, 5% for the division. But I also think that each game gained increases those chances, especially gaining games with 2 months to go in the season. Well, at the start of play Wednesday, the Yankees chances of winning the Wild Card, according to Baseball Prospectus have increased to 26% and their overall chance of making the playoffs stands at 30%. That’s after gaining two games in the WC standings. So it looks like, at this point, each game gained in the standings increases their chances by 3%. That’s not too shabby. Of course, I’m not a mathematician, that’s my ignorant interpretation of the numbers. Other methods (available at the link above) put the Yankee chances as higher.
Tomorrow the Yankees look to gain another game in the standings of some race with their 7th straight victory. It’ll be nice to see a sweep. It’s kid of surprising that given the Yankees stupendous July so far that there hasn’t been a single series sweep. I want to see Beth’s crazy Steinbrenner!